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Data reportsUpdated October 29, 20266 min readBy FudoPro Editorial

What a 34-point pass line means: a score ladder from 40 sittings of pass-mark data

TAC and LEC estimate the 2026 line at 34±1; U-CAN at 32±1. A score of 34 reaches 25 of 40 reported historical thresholds, but only 3 of the last 10.

Provisional

The 2026 pass mark is not known yet

The 34 in the title is a school estimate, not an official figure. TAC and LEC both give 34±1 and U-CAN gives 32±1, all as of the evening of October 18. RETIO publishes the official pass mark on Wednesday, November 25, 2026. This ladder shows how past lines behaved; it does not predict this one.

A pass mark is a moving target: the official line is set after each sitting, out of 50 points for general candidates. So the useful question after you self-score is not “is my score enough?” but “how often would this score have been enough?”

We took 40 reported pass marks from 1988 to 2025 and turned them into a ladder. For each score from 30 to 38, we counted how many sittings had a line at or below it. Since a score at the line passes, “at or below” is the right test.

The 40-sitting dataset includes third-party reported historical thresholds. RETIO states that it began publishing pass criteria in 2002 and did not publish those for 2001 or earlier. Those earlier figures are therefore not verified official marks. This review checked 2003–2025 against RETIO publications and the 2003 RETIO results notice hosted by the Osaka Prefecture Real Estate Transaction Specialist Center. The 1988–2002 entries remain attributed to the compiled history. Statistics covering those entries describe that dataset, not an independently verified official series.

The 40 pass marks at a glance

median pass mark
34
Midpoint of the 40 marks in order (19 below, 6 at 34, 15 above).
average pass mark
33.6
Mean of the 40 marks (33.55), rounded.
most common mark
33
9 of 40 sittings; 34, 35 and 36 follow with 6 each.
range
26–38
Low in 1990 (26), high in the October 2020 sitting (38).

The score ladder, 1988–2025

Number of sittings whose pass mark was at or below each score. “Last 10” covers 2018–2025, which includes two sittings each in 2020 and 2021.
Your scorePasses in all 40Share of 40Passes in last 10
305 of 4012.5%0 of 10
316 of 4015.0%0 of 10
3210 of 4025.0%0 of 10
3319 of 4047.5%1 of 10
3425 of 4062.5%3 of 10
3531 of 4077.5%4 of 10
3637 of 4092.5%7 of 10
3739 of 4097.5%9 of 10
3840 of 40100.0%10 of 10

Computed from the reported dataset; see the provenance warning above. Primary publications independently confirm 2003–2025.

How often each score would have passed (40 sittings, 1988–2025)

How often each score would have passed (40 sittings, 1988–2025)Bar chart, 1 series, 9 categories from 30 to 38. Values run from 12.5 % of sittings to 100 % of sittings.% of sittings020406080100303132333435363738Share of sittings passed: 30 — 12.5 % of sittings12.5Share of sittings passed: 31 — 15 % of sittings15Share of sittings passed: 32 — 25 % of sittings25Share of sittings passed: 33 — 47.5 % of sittings47.5Share of sittings passed: 34 — 62.5 % of sittings62.5Share of sittings passed: 35 — 77.5 % of sittings77.5Share of sittings passed: 36 — 92.5 % of sittings92.5Share of sittings passed: 37 — 97.5 % of sittings97.5Share of sittings passed: 38 — 100 % of sittings100
How often each score would have passed (40 sittings, 1988–2025) — Chart data
CategoryShare of sittings passed
3012.5 % of sittings
3115 % of sittings
3225 % of sittings
3347.5 % of sittings
3462.5 % of sittings
3577.5 % of sittings
3692.5 % of sittings
3797.5 % of sittings
38100 % of sittings
Dataset comparison, including unverified historical figures; not a probability of passing in 2026.

What the ladder says about 34

A 34 would have passed in 25 of 40 sittings, 62.5%. It sits exactly on the median. But the line has been higher lately. In the last 10 sittings the average pass mark was 35.6, and a 34 would have passed 3 times: both sittings in 2021, where it matched the line, and 2025, when the line was 33.

Each additional point changes the comparison. A 36 would have passed 37 of 40 sittings overall and 7 of the last 10. A 37 would have passed 39 of 40 and 9 of 10. 38 is the lowest score that reaches every threshold in this dataset.

The last 10 sittings against a score of 34

Pass marks for general candidates, out of 50, from RETIO's published table of the ten most recent years.
SittingPass markGap (mark − 34)Would 34 have passed?
201837+3No
201935+1No
2020 Oct38+4No
2020 Dec36+2No
2021 Oct340Yes (at the line)
2021 Dec340Yes (at the line)
202236+2No
202336+2No
202437+3No
202533−1Yes

A gap of 0 means 34 equals the line, which passes.

How much the line moves from one sitting to the next

Across the 40 sittings the line changed by a median of 2 points from one sitting to the next, and by 3 or more points in 12 of the 39 changes. The biggest swing was 8 points, between 1990 (26) and 1991 (34). The most recent was down 4, from 37 in 2024 to 33 in 2025.

For registration-training completers, who sit 45 questions, RETIO's table shows a line exactly 5 points below the general line in all 11 sittings from 2016 to 2025 for which it lists both. In 2025 that was 28 out of 45.

What to do with your own score

These are editorial suggestions, not RETIO guidance.

  • 32 or below: below the 33–35 range TAC and LEC give; 31–32 is within U-CAN's 31–33 range, while 30 or below is below all three cited ranges. A pass would need a low line, which has happened but is not the usual case. Plan for a retake while you wait.
  • 33–35: inside the TAC and LEC ranges. Do not read your number as a pass or a fail until November 25.
  • 36 or above: above the top of all three cited school ranges. A 36 would have been at or above the line in 37 of 40 sittings.

Whatever your score, a self-score is only as good as the answer key behind it. The key is provisional until RETIO's official answers.

Watch out

How reliable are these numbers?

The 40-sitting dataset includes third-party reported historical thresholds. RETIO states that it began publishing pass criteria in 2002 and did not publish those for 2001 or earlier. Those earlier figures are therefore not verified official marks. This review checked 2003–2025 against RETIO publications and the 2003 RETIO results notice hosted by the Osaka Prefecture Real Estate Transaction Specialist Center. The 1988–2002 entries remain attributed to the compiled history. Statistics covering those entries describe that dataset, not an independently verified official series.

Score yourself against the provisional key

Use the self-score page to check your answers, and consult RETIO for the official answers and result.

Sources

  1. RETIO — Takken exam implementation summary, past ten years (to Reiwa 7): pass marks, general and training completers (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 22, 2026
  2. TAC — rapid answer key and pass-mark estimate (34±1) (opens in a new tab)tac-school.co.jpUpdated 2026-10-18 18:00Accessed October 22, 2026
  3. LEC — rapid answer key and pass-mark estimate (34±1) (opens in a new tab)lec-jp.comAs of 2026-10-18 18:00Accessed October 22, 2026
  4. U-CAN — pass-mark estimate (32±1) (opens in a new tab)u-can.co.jpPublished 2026-10-18 20:05Accessed October 22, 2026
  5. RETIO — Takken exam schedule (Reiwa 8): results on 2026-11-25 (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 22, 2026
  6. 過去問徹底!宅建試験合格情報 — compiled pass-mark history (marks before 2016) (opens in a new tab)e-takken.tvThird-party compiled historyAccessed October 22, 2026
  7. RETIO — publication of pass criteria began in 2002 (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  8. RETIO — 2015–2024 exam results (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  9. 2004 pass criteria — Tottori Prefecture (opens in a new tab)pref.tottori.lg.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  10. 2005 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  11. 2006 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  12. 2007 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  13. 2008 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  14. 2009 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  15. 2010 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  16. 2011 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  17. 2012 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  18. 2013 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  19. 2014 pass criteria — RETIO (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  20. RETIO — 2004 results and publication policy for pass criteria (opens in a new tab)retio.or.jpAccessed October 25, 2026
  21. Osaka Prefecture Real Estate Transaction Specialist Center — RETIO 2003 results notice (opens in a new tab)otc-s.comAccessed October 25, 2026

Updated October 29, 2026 · Published October 22, 2026

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